Thursday, July 29, 2010

Frugality As An Aid To One's Interests

Jacob over at Early Retirement Extreme put up a post today in which he describes frugality as "equal[ing] economic efficiency."

As I read it, I thought to myself:

I am frugal when it comes to things I don't much care about so that I can make room to be less frugal (or not at all) when it comes to things that I do care about.

My recent post about taking on the "beans and rice challenge" falls into the former category: most of the time I just need food to fuel my body, I don't need it to entertain me so I avoid spending more on food than necessary. Despite the license I often feel my frugality in some areas gives me in regard to others, now I'm wondering how I could get more of the things I do care about with less input...

...more of what I want for less of what it takes, leaving more of what it takes for getting more of what I want in the future...

Check out Jacob's post (and the comments people are leaving). It's interesting stuff!

Sunday, July 25, 2010

Fed Cheap, Fed Passively, Set Free

Since posting about my 30 cent per meal pressure cooker creations, I've mentally tied this into my pursuit of passive income. Basically, I got to thinking how much capital I would need in various types of investments to fully fund eating this way with the resulting passive income for one year.

If I were to literally eat nothing but these simple recipes three times a day for one full year, the total expense would come to $328.50 (30 cents x 3 x 365 days). Monthly this works out to roughly $27.38 (this is ingredients only, of course; not included are power expenses, cookware purchases, etc).

To generate this cash flow from passive income investments, how much capital is required?

If I use my USD/TRY/CAD hedged carry trade method, which is presently earning 72% annually, I would need about $912. (At this interest rate, I would need $456 invested, and to provide plenty of defensive available margin I'm simply doubling that total).

If I invested in a very high yield stock to generate this amount annually, such as Annaly Capital Management, presently yielding 15.4%, I would need about $2133 worth of the stock.

If I went with Verizon stock instead, an equity that may have a safer, solid yield when compared to Annaly Capital Mangement's, which is presently 7%, I would need about $4693 worth of the stock.

If I went with 10 year U.S. treasury notes, which yielded 3.02% as of Friday, July 23rd, I would need $11,000 (the actual amount needed would be $10,878, but U.S. 10 year t-notes are $1,000 apiece, so you would need eleven of them).

I've arrange these in order of most risk to least. As such, the capital required to come up with $328.50 each year increases dramatically (risk vs. reward) as you move down the list. It would seem that one should go with the highest yielding option in any case, but I don't think that's true, especially since high yielding investments can falter and become lower or non-yielding investments.

What I am doing is starting with the highest yielding option in my own portfolio, but as this offsets certain expenses that I otherwise pay for through wages, I direct the resulting surplus into less aggressive investments. As the income from these investments begins to offset more expenses, I further dial down the risk of my subsequent investments. At some point when I have decided I have traveled as far down the risk spectrum as I care to go (I doubt I would ever actually bother with t-notes; blue chips are where I'm likely to draw the line) I will invest only in this portion of my portfolio from then on. As further investment in the "lowest rung" of my investing ladder brings it to a point where it alone covers all of my expenses, then as this income rises past that point I will use that surplus to offset reductions in the riskiest assets in my portfolio. Eventually when I am satisfied with the highest and lowest risks in my portfolio, I will simply let its income grow through further investment at the low end (new capital and dividend reinvestment) and increasing dividends.

Risk is a relative concept, of course, and I'm not suggesting that something is always a safer investment simply because it yields less (one must always do the required homework before making an investment!). That said, let me now also state that I am not making any investment recommendations, I'm just thinking out loud about what I am doing (also, for the sake of disclosure, I am long shares of Annaly Capital Management).

What all of this aims at, ultimately, is to seek to reduce and "lock in" certain expenses at low levels such that they can be offset with passive income investing requiring the least amount of capital possible. Doing so leads to surpluses sooner rather than later, which if used to further said passive income investments would lead to the ultimate goal faster: financial independence.

Is eating a lot of beans and rice worth doing to achieve that?

I believe that it is.

Time Maximization Observation for 25 July 2010

A watched pressure cooker will never reach its operating pressure.

However, if you do push-ups while a pressure cooker is building up pressure, it will.

I know this sounds crazy, but it's true!

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Eating On 90 Cents A Day


I recently became acquainted with the blog, Early Retirement Extreme, which is written by a fellow named Jacob. Basically, by practicing intensive, smart frugality and careful investing, Jacob, who is in his early 30's like me, is retired.

One of Jacob's frequent topics is cooking, particularly the costs of feeding one's self. Somewhere in the dozens of articles of his that I've read, I came across an idea that I had not considered before: eat to fuel the body; don't use eating as a source of entertainment.

I'm guessing I saw this in conjunction with one of Jacob's posts on a simple, repetitive diet he maintained for quite some time (and maybe he still does). This is not the first place I've heard of such an idea, however. I've been listening to Dave Ramsey for some time now, and anyone who is familiar with his show no doubt is familiar with Dave's frugal dietary advice: eat beans and rice, and when you get bored switch to eating rice and beans.

I decided to take the plunge.

I started off with a crock pot full of black beans, a can of chili ready tomatoes, and a few spices. When it's time to eat, I put 1/4 of a cup of white rice on the stove and in about twenty minutes I've got my meal. So far I've also made up a batch of simple curried lentils, tried different types of beans (all dried beans, by the way), etc. At first I was concerned that I would get bored, but that doesn't seem to be happening. Once you get your head around the idea that you're eating to live, not living to eat, having the same thing again and again doesn't seem bad at all. (Besides, there are "treat" meals, like the sweet teriyaki marinated pork chops I made today that I'm going to throw on my grill once I'm done writing this).

Further inspired by Jacob's example, I bought a pressure cooker on eBay. It arrived yesterday and I tried making that lentil curry recipe I linked to above. It came out perfect, but inside of my pressure cooker it took only seven minutes to cook, not the forty minutes called for in that recipe.

I did the math and discovered that my beans and rice meals are costing me around thirty cents each. Just thirty cents! In a day, that's 90 cents spent on feeding myself. Over the course of a week, that's only $6.30! In the future the cost will become less per meal because so far I have been purchasing my ingredients in small amounts. Large bulk purchases of rice, beans, lentils, etc will further reduce my meal costs.

Think of the things that it could become possible for you to do if your weekly food budget dropped to less than $10.

Monday, July 19, 2010

Gaza: Things Are Now So Bad That Palestinians Are Shopping In Malls!


Breaking news from Gaza on the latest disaster in Palestine:

Bargain Prices for 'Zionist' Clothes in New Gaza Luxury Mall

While Hamas continues to complain that Gaza lacks building materials, a luxury mall in Gaza City held its grand opening over the weekend. Among the goods on sale are Israeli men's clothing, and items from Turkey, France, and the United States.

Click here to view photos of the new mall in Gaza.

If you continue to read through Tom Gross' site, you'll also get to see the new Olympic-sized pool that recently opened, the markets full of food, the upscale restaurants that serve up steak au poivre and chicken cordon bleu, etc.

I think I'll book a vacation there!

Why bring this up? I think Mr. Gross states the reasons perfectly:

BIAS IN A LEAGUE OF ITS OWN

Before I draw attention to other photos below, please let me restate again my overall position since several other commentators have misrepresented it recently:

I have consistently supported the creation of an independent Palestinian Arab state alongside Israel since I first became interested in politics. But there is no point in creating a new Palestinian state if it will primarily be used as a launching ground for armed attacks on Israel, which would only in turn likely lead to a much bloodier war between Israelis and Palestinians than anything we have witnessed in the past.

In order to make sure any Palestinian state is peaceful, and respects human rights for both its own citizens and its neighbors, it is crucial for Western policy-makers not be mislead into making bad policy (as they have so often done in the past) in part, at least, as a result of believing the utter distortions of Western journalists, who greatly exaggerate the suffering of Palestinians and consistently cover up for the misdeeds of Hamas and Fatah.

Of course, one should not forget that the media is full of stereotypes and mistakes about other issues. Yet when every allowance has been made, the sustained bias against Israel is in a league of its own.

I am not for one moment suggesting that Israeli misdeeds should not be fully and unsparingly reported on (and indeed Israel being a vigorous democracy, such misdeeds are widely reported on in the Israeli media itself, and debated in the Israeli Knesset). But propagating the falsehoods of Fatah and Hamas propagandists has done nothing to further the legitimate aspirations of ordinary Palestinians, any more than parroting the lies of Stalin helped ordinary Russians.

Such bias, I believed, is not only wrong in itself but seriously detrimental to international efforts to bring about peace between Palestinians and Israelis.

Sunday, July 18, 2010

Cuba: Getting Exactly What They Pay For

Now this is funny!

Without people feeling the need to work to make a living, sheltered by state regulations that are excessively paternalistic and irrational, we will never stimulate a love for work. -- Raul Castro, Dictator of Cuba

I hope that ends up etched on his and Fidel's tombstones. lol!

This quote is part of this article, Jobless in Cuba? Communism faces the unthinkable.

It's hilarious that Raul said this, considering that the centrally planned economy these thugs have been forcing on the Cuban people for decades is a massive, built-in disincentive to work (absent using execution as a motivator, that is). I guess people won't labor out of love for "la revolución" after all.

Sadly, there are far too many politicians here in the U.S. who think the same way, and they act on those beliefs to our detriment with predictable, bad results. On the other hand, I think I'll apply for the "sleeping in a wheelbarrow" government job when we get to that point. It sounds relaxing.

HT: Captain Capitalism

What I've Been Up To In Forex Lately

I haven't written about my adventures in Forex for some time now, so I thought I'd post an update.

Active Trading

I presently use two Forex trading styles amongst three portfolios: one active, two semi-passive.

In my active trading I have spent the past year and one-half using what amounted to a scalping method: very short time frames, very quick entries and exits with most positions closed intraday (or, since Forex runs 24/7, before I went to bed). I made use of MACD indicators with a histogram and Bollinger bands to identify entry and exit signals, and I would look at longer time frames to determine the dominant price trend. I would respond to entry signals that were in the direction of the trend and then claw and bite my way to profit.

It was fun for a while, but then it got aggravating. Trading that way demands one's full attention. There is not room for any distractions when you're trading like that. This is fine if you truly have no other interests in life aside from staring at candlestick charts, but unfortunately for me I am flawed and I do care about other stuff.

I decided to trade in longer time frames, from one hour charts up to daily (my broker, Oanda, doesn't presently offer charts beyond daily). My prior signal detection method doesn't work at all in such time frames, however, so I had to kick around a bit to find something new. Eventually I found my way to babypips.com, and in particular their education section on trading oscillator divergences. I took that information, replaced MACD on my charts with a simple RSI oscillator, and off I went. This change of strategy has turned out to be very profitable and a lot more relaxing!

Another change that has occurred in my trading is that I am no longer dependent on trading for income. Thanks to the growth of my passive income projects elsewhere, and some budget trimming, I do not require a particular amount from trading each month to cover my expenses. This has been a huge relief and it has changed my perception of each trade immensely. Trading is now something I enter into only when choice opportunities appear, and now my profits are dedicated to helping me retire my debts faster (as a supplement, that is - my debt servicing is otherwise fully covered by my budget, so there's no pressure there to hit a particular profit target each month either).

Passive Trading

My "passive" approach to Forex is the USD/TRY/CAD hedged carry trade that I've been working with for quite some time now. My method has gone through changes over time with the span between the last post I wrote about it and now being no exception.

My current approach is not truly passive but is instead a very long time frame USD/TRY "buy and hold" strategy (short USD, long Lira, of course) with USD/CAD occasionally opened long and closed out when no longer needed. All I do is keep an eye on overbought and oversold RSI levels for USD/TRY on daily charts. When USD/TRY reaches oversold territory I open USD/CAD longs, up to 75% of my total existing USD/TRY short units. When USD/TRY returns to overbought conditions, it tends to be the case that the USD/CAD longs will be in profit. I then cash these out and add more to my USD/TRY short position (no more than 10% of available margin). I started doing this instead of just holding USD/CAD as a hedge against a retreat of the Lira versus the USD because a) it's unnecessary to hedge against a Lira decline when Lira is advancing (duh), and b) holding USD/CAD long, at present, incurs a daily interest expense. Handled this way, I am able to protect my available margin when my USD/TRY positions are threatening a move into the red and my cash position grows every time I jettison the USD/CAD positions. Lately, with USD/CAD positions greatly reduced (I wasn't able to completely eliminate them during the last go around) my two hedged carry portfolios' incomes increased roughly 10%.

Saturday, July 17, 2010

A Few Changes

I've been feeling the urge to make my blog layout a lot less "busy" than it has been. Today I did that.

I'm curious as to whether the changes I've made will increase my blog's revenues (and I'm hopeful that this will be the case). I decided to entirely scrap the left hand column that I used to use in favor of moving all ads and other blog elements over to the right. I'm thinking this may prove to be a good move for the purpose of increasing my ad revenue since English is read from left to right, meaning the gaze of my readers will keep landing on that space.

It would be nice if this works since I'm not much interested in writing paid content these days, for a variety of reasons.

Monday, July 05, 2010

A Win-Win Proposal

A few months ago I became involved with a company known as Primerica. You may have heard of them. If not, then in a nutshell, Primerica is a financial services company focused on helping middle income families get protected (insurance), get out of debt, and then get started on building wealth - cover your bases, then swing for the fences.

We mainly do life policies, but through a referral based service we also help people get cheaper auto and home (property and casualty) insurance.

This is my win-win proposal: this service is absolutely free, no obligation, and it can assist you in reducing what you pay each month for these types of insurances. I used it for my own auto and home policies and saw a reduction (and I was placed with Safeco, so we're not talking no-name, fly-by-night insurers, here).

One friend of mine whom I've known since my second go around at Washington State U. used it and reduced his annual premiums for his auto and home policies by a combined $775.

The company behind the service is called Answer Financial. The reason they can find deals like this is that, with your info, they will survey a couple dozen insurers in one shot. Answer Financial is not an insurer, so if they truly cannot find you a better deal they'll tell you so.

You can try this service by one of two ways:

1. Call their toll free number: 1-877-855-8111, or

2. Go to their website: Primerica Secure / Answer Financial

All you will need to make it all happen are two pieces of info:

1. My representative ID: UHGU3
2. My last name: Zimmerman

If you find something that's a better deal than what you have now, you save money each month, and I get a referral fee (in some states I do not, but don't worry about that). That's what makes this win-win.

Since this is a business that I am trying to grow, if I'm able to help you save money on your insurance, then please consider passing this info on to family, friends, or anyone you know who could benefit from it.

Also, please leave a comment here if you land a good deal, and let everyone know how much you're saving. I'm always curious how well this works out for the folks who are using it and I enjoy seeing people putting money back into their own pockets.

Good luck, and thanks!

[Apologies to readers outside of the United States - this is open to people residing in the U.S. only]

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